Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.008632 0.010168 0.012017 0.014443 0.017599 0.021649 0.027385
2025-08-17 0.006347 0.008030 0.010279 0.013614 0.018643 0.026344 0.039964
2025-08-24 0.005155 0.006813 0.009179 0.012983 0.019350 0.030508 0.054337
2025-08-31 0.004581 0.006283 0.008852 0.013292 0.021496 0.037963 0.081369
2025-09-07 0.004026 0.005665 0.008239 0.012932 0.022276 0.043212 0.109818
2025-09-14 0.003566 0.005117 0.007629 0.012405 0.022516 0.047425 0.142069
2025-09-21 0.003278 0.004798 0.007340 0.012392 0.023821 0.055188 0.204250
2025-09-28 0.003117 0.004663 0.007339 0.012928 0.026595 0.069463 0.348955
2025-10-05 0.003046 0.004666 0.007581 0.014024 0.031302 0.095605 0.782045
2025-10-12 0.002907 0.004533 0.007544 0.014496 0.034573 0.121239 1.725893
2025-10-19 0.002715 0.004282 0.007243 0.014279 0.035674 0.138752 3.369228
2025-10-26 0.002570 0.004104 0.007061 0.014317 0.037678 0.165779 9.532684
2025-11-02 0.002375 0.003829 0.006679 0.013857 0.038096 0.187139 34.995323
2025-11-09 0.002172 0.003525 0.006205 0.013073 0.037043 0.197142 158.189679
2025-11-16 0.002007 0.003278 0.005827 0.012476 0.036500 0.212266 21501.887658
2025-11-23 0.001927 0.003189 0.005775 0.012769 0.039891 0.282029 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001810 0.003018 0.005520 0.012429 0.040318 0.321886 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001695 0.002839 0.005231 0.011930 0.039774 0.348547 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001621 0.002739 0.005110 0.011917 0.041714 0.436229 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001585 0.002711 0.005153 0.012425 0.046908 0.667367 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001578 0.002742 0.005339 0.013461 0.056493 1.352478 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001539 0.002703 0.005349 0.013908 0.063009 2.414660 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001472 0.002600 0.005187 0.013703 0.064654 3.328307 NaN